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Red138
329740.3
329347.2
212954.8
Blue95
327819.2
331332.9
418127.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1226705010015013895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+47Teleop
+55Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave0
7Coral scored#4
34Coral points19
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +29
16Coral scored#8
59Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
77Total teleop48
Reef
8L4#3
6L3#4
7L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#16
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points12
138Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2129
#13
54.82.5
38.841.2
Auto15.2
Teleop38.2
End1.4
red by 21.9
3313
#20
32.90.8
21.922.7
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End3.9
Second
47.21.6
37.639.2
Auto7.0
Teleop31.5
End8.7
red by 19.8
4181
#11
27.40.6
23.924.5
Auto5.0
Teleop20.8
End1.6
Third
40.32.5
28.330.8
Auto10.3
Teleop25.0
End5.1
red by 21.2
3278
#32
19.20.8
18.419.3
Auto4.5
Teleop12.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsEarned