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Red89
302617.3
423034.9
974528.6
Blue118
858623.9
288340.0
909242.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8192406010012014089118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousRed +12
0Leave3
7Coral scored#4
33Coral points18
33Total auto21
TeleoperatedBlue +19
11Coral scored#13
38Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
52Total teleop71
Reef
8L4#8
4L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
89Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4230
#36
34.90.9
31.532.4
Auto6.4
Teleop26.7
End1.8
blue by 7.7
9092
#10
42.64.1
27.631.7
Auto9.9
Teleop25.1
End7.6
Second
9745
#38
28.61.4
26.027.4
Auto6.7
Teleop19.0
End2.9
blue by 11.4
40.04.1
35.839.9
Auto8.2
Teleop27.4
End4.3
Third
3026
#49
17.31.4
19.020.4
Auto3.0
Teleop11.9
End2.4
blue by 6.7
8586
#33
23.94.1
17.421.6
Auto4.1
Teleop15.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned