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Red127
87662.2
887820.6
436033.1
Blue101
265428.0
327666.5
250019.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11092050150200127101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+16Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points20
20Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +22
18Coral scored#14
65Coral points51
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
93Total teleop71
Reef
9L4#7
5L3#5
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
127Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#3
62.21.6
54.556.2
Auto14.6
Teleop39.8
End7.8
blue by 4.3
66.51.0
47.748.7
Auto13.2
Teleop43.9
End9.4
Second
4360
#19
33.11.6
25.427.0
Auto4.0
Teleop26.4
End2.7
red by 5.1
2654
#39
28.00.6
21.321.9
Auto3.6
Teleop18.7
End5.7
Third
8878
#25
20.62.7
14.016.8
Auto4.8
Teleop13.1
End2.8
red by 1.1
2500
#37
19.51.0
14.915.8
Auto5.2
Teleop13.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsMissed