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Red42
448014.1
592911.9
563821.2
Blue65
330020.7
825527.8
313427.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions657920401001204265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+21
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +22
8Coral scored#12
27Coral points43
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
31Total teleop53
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points2
42Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5638
#52
21.22.1
25.123.0
Auto2.6
Teleop16.3
End2.3
blue by 6.7
3134
#15
27.81.3
29.127.8
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End2.0
Second
4480
#50
14.12.1
17.215.1
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End1.3
blue by 13.7
8255
#44
27.81.3
18.317.0
Auto2.3
Teleop23.2
End2.3
Third
5929
#51
11.92.1
12.610.5
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End0.0
blue by 8.8
3300
#35
20.71.3
18.417.1
Auto2.6
Teleop13.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed