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Red61
704826.7
525336.7
818821.4
Blue41
310230.5
753020.9
422621.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85732040601001201406141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+18Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave3
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points12
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +17
8Coral scored#4
27Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
41Total teleop24
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
61Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5253
#14
36.71.1
29.528.3
Auto3.6
Teleop31.1
End2.0
red by 6.3
3102
#22
30.53.2
27.524.3
Auto8.3
Teleop18.2
End4.0
Second
7048
#41
26.71.1
17.516.4
Auto6.0
Teleop15.7
End5.1
red by 5.6
4226
#42
21.13.2
20.317.1
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End2.2
Third
8188
#43
21.41.9
25.123.2
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End3.0
red by 0.5
7530
#29
20.93.2
16.513.3
Auto4.3
Teleop12.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed