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Red87
329818.9
418127.4
298732.3
Blue55
327819.2
1017323.1
723521.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837302040601001201401608755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+48Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +41
15Coral scored#6
53Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
67Total teleop26
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#2
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +16
4Cage & park20
4Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
87Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2987
#21
32.30.7
29.730.4
Auto5.2
Teleop25.1
End2.0
red by 9.2
23.11.2
23.021.8
Auto4.0
Teleop13.8
End5.3
Second
4181
#11
27.40.4
24.524.9
Auto5.0
Teleop20.8
End1.6
red by 6.3
7235
#30
21.11.2
19.418.2
Auto2.5
Teleop12.8
End5.8
Third
3298
#31
18.90.4
16.016.4
Auto6.6
Teleop10.6
End1.7
blue by 0.3
3278
#32
19.22.0
19.317.2
Auto4.5
Teleop12.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned