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Red84
858623.9
329740.3
419827.9
Blue60
957634.0
327522.8
250825.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89842040601001201401608460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+16Teleop
+26Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
9Coral scored#9
33Coral points33
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
45Total teleop43
Reef
4L4#3
6L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points2
84Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.30.7
30.831.5
Auto10.3
Teleop25.0
End5.1
red by 6.4
9576
#16
34.02.0
31.529.5
Auto6.4
Teleop25.2
End2.4
Second
4198
#28
27.90.7
25.626.3
Auto5.0
Teleop16.4
End6.6
red by 2.5
2508
#26
25.42.0
24.722.8
Auto5.2
Teleop17.4
End2.9
Third
8586
#33
23.90.7
21.622.2
Auto4.1
Teleop15.8
End4.0
red by 1.1
3275
#27
22.82.0
19.417.4
Auto3.9
Teleop16.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed