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Red40
331332.9
546432.0
757831.5
Blue75
463225.4
87727.0
288340.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76832040601001201404075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+25
Endgame+17
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points13
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +22
2Coral scored#7
6Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
10Total teleop32
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#11
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points18
40Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3313
#20
32.93.2
22.719.5
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End3.9
blue by 7.1
40.01.9
39.938.0
Auto8.2
Teleop27.4
End4.3
Second
5464
#17
32.03.2
24.921.6
Auto4.3
Teleop20.5
End7.1
red by 5.0
877
#24
27.01.9
13.811.9
Auto6.7
Teleop16.0
End4.3
Third
7578
#45
31.53.2
21.618.4
Auto6.5
Teleop22.4
End2.6
red by 6.1
25.41.9
20.518.6
Auto4.3
Teleop17.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsMissed