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Red42
423034.9
767724.7
818821.4
Blue59
302617.3
453927.8
298732.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions959560801201401604259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +18
4Coral scored#9
16Coral points32
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
6Processor points0
4Net points12
10Algae points12
26Total teleop44
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
42Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4230
#36
34.93.6
32.428.8
Auto6.4
Teleop26.7
End1.8
red by 2.6
2987
#21
32.34.0
30.426.4
Auto5.2
Teleop25.1
End2.0
Second
7677
#23
24.76.1
29.923.8
Auto5.0
Teleop15.5
End4.1
blue by 3.1
27.84.0
32.628.7
Auto6.2
Teleop17.8
End3.8
Third
8188
#43
21.46.1
23.217.1
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End3.0
red by 4.1
3026
#49
17.34.0
20.416.4
Auto3.0
Teleop11.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed