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Red98
614642.5
753020.9
327819.2
Blue38
250019.5
723521.1
448014.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8059020401001201409838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+52Teleop
+60Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +49
16Coral scored#4
56Coral points13
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
12Processor points6
4Net points4
16Algae points10
72Total teleop23
Reef
7L4#1
4L3#1
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#6
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
0Foul points0
98Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.52.5
33.135.6
Auto5.6
Teleop32.5
End4.4
red by 21.3
7235
#30
21.11.3
18.216.9
Auto2.5
Teleop12.8
End5.8
Second
7530
#29
20.92.5
13.315.8
Auto4.3
Teleop12.8
End3.8
red by 1.4
2500
#37
19.52.2
15.813.6
Auto5.2
Teleop13.4
End1.0
Third
3278
#32
19.22.5
17.219.8
Auto4.5
Teleop12.4
End2.3
red by 5.1
4480
#50
14.12.2
15.112.9
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed