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Red115
909242.6
310230.5
563821.2
Blue75
767724.7
87727.0
329818.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions885302040608010012014011575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+40Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
4Coral scored#1
18Coral points6
18Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +37
17Coral scored#8
61Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
81Total teleop44
Reef
8L4#4
7L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
115Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9092
#10
42.62.5
27.730.2
Auto9.9
Teleop25.1
End7.6
red by 15.6
877
#24
27.00.7
11.912.6
Auto6.7
Teleop16.0
End4.3
Second
3102
#22
30.52.5
24.326.9
Auto8.3
Teleop18.2
End4.0
red by 5.8
7677
#23
24.70.7
23.824.5
Auto5.0
Teleop15.5
End4.1
Third
5638
#52
21.22.5
23.025.5
Auto2.6
Teleop16.3
End2.3
red by 2.3
3298
#31
18.90.4
16.416.8
Auto6.6
Teleop10.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsEarned