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Red115
87662.2
418127.4
288340.0
Blue97
423814.2
327734.7
546432.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1386705010015020011597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+24Teleop
+12Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave3
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +3
14Coral scored#14
51Coral points52
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
75Total teleop72
Reef
5L4#5
8L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
6Foul points0
115Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#3
62.21.4
56.254.7
Auto14.6
Teleop39.8
End7.8
red by 27.5
3277
#12
34.71.2
32.633.7
Auto5.4
Teleop27.8
End1.5
Second
40.02.4
38.035.6
Auto8.2
Teleop27.4
End4.3
red by 8.1
5464
#17
32.01.9
21.623.6
Auto4.3
Teleop20.5
End7.1
Third
4181
#11
27.41.4
24.923.4
Auto5.0
Teleop20.8
End1.6
red by 13.2
4238
#48
14.21.9
14.216.1
Auto2.1
Teleop7.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned