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Red103
974528.6
825527.8
331332.9
Blue74
565822.8
757831.5
302617.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6760020408010010374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+21Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +21
14Coral scored#11
49Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
77Total teleop56
Reef
6L4#4
2L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#16
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
103Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3313
#20
32.93.5
19.523.0
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End3.9
red by 1.4
7578
#45
31.51.2
18.419.6
Auto6.5
Teleop22.4
End2.6
Second
9745
#38
28.63.5
23.727.2
Auto6.7
Teleop19.0
End2.9
red by 5.8
5658
#47
22.81.2
19.220.4
Auto4.5
Teleop15.7
End2.5
Third
8255
#44
27.83.5
17.020.5
Auto2.3
Teleop23.2
End2.3
red by 10.5
3026
#49
17.31.2
16.417.6
Auto3.0
Teleop11.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed