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Red43
645317.8
1017323.1
858623.9
Blue102
329740.3
436033.1
453927.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5310602040608012014016043102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+47
Endgame+57
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +37
4Coral scored#14
14Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
28Total teleop65
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#7
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points2
43Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8586
#33
23.92.1
22.220.1
Auto4.1
Teleop15.8
End4.0
blue by 16.4
40.30.2
31.531.6
Auto10.3
Teleop25.0
End5.1
Second
23.11.3
21.820.5
Auto4.0
Teleop13.8
End5.3
blue by 10.0
4360
#19
33.10.1
27.027.1
Auto4.0
Teleop26.4
End2.7
Third
6453
#46
17.82.1
7.04.9
Auto3.4
Teleop11.6
End2.8
blue by 10.0
27.80.2
28.728.9
Auto6.2
Teleop17.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned