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Red69
592911.9
288340.0
250825.4
Blue131
887820.6
614642.5
327666.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions681225010015069131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+40
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +33
10Coral scored#16
35Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
49Total teleop82
Reef
4L4#8
4L3#7
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
69Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.00.1
35.635.7
Auto8.2
Teleop27.4
End4.3
blue by 26.5
66.53.0
51.854.8
Auto13.2
Teleop43.9
End9.4
Second
2508
#26
25.40.1
22.022.1
Auto5.2
Teleop17.4
End2.9
blue by 17.1
42.53.0
35.638.6
Auto5.6
Teleop32.5
End4.4
Third
5929
#51
11.90.1
10.510.6
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End0.0
blue by 8.7
8878
#25
20.63.0
16.819.7
Auto4.8
Teleop13.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned