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Red97
313427.8
423814.2
725735.7
Blue101
546432.0
327819.2
909242.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84885060708010011012013097101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+6Teleop
+8Endgame
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points15
9Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +15
12Coral scored#9
42Coral points33
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
66Total teleop51
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
6Foul points18
97Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7257
#34
35.71.6
28.530.2
Auto6.9
Teleop22.7
End6.1
blue by 6.9
9092
#10
42.60.4
30.230.6
Auto9.9
Teleop25.1
End7.6
Second
3134
#15
27.81.6
28.830.4
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End2.0
blue by 4.1
5464
#17
32.00.4
23.624.0
Auto4.3
Teleop20.5
End7.1
Third
4238
#48
14.21.6
16.117.7
Auto2.1
Teleop7.2
End4.8
blue by 5.0
3278
#32
19.20.4
19.820.2
Auto4.5
Teleop12.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned