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Red113
957634.0
463225.4
329818.9
Blue107
753020.9
418127.4
329347.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7888204060100120140113107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+6
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +7
11Coral scored#14
41Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
59Total teleop66
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
24Foul points12
113Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9576
#16
34.01.1
30.531.6
Auto6.4
Teleop25.2
End2.4
blue by 13.2
47.20.5
39.940.4
Auto7.0
Teleop31.5
End8.7
Second
25.41.1
23.124.2
Auto4.3
Teleop17.8
End3.3
blue by 2.0
4181
#11
27.40.5
23.424.0
Auto5.0
Teleop20.8
End1.6
Third
3298
#31
18.90.6
16.817.4
Auto6.6
Teleop10.6
End1.7
blue by 2.0
7530
#29
20.90.9
15.816.7
Auto4.3
Teleop12.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned