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Red69
313427.8
453927.8
767724.7
Blue43
753020.9
565822.8
327734.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1018860801201406943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+28Teleop
+40Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +25
9Coral scored#4
33Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
43Total teleop18
Reef
6L4#1
3L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#5
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points14
69Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3134
#15
27.81.8
30.428.6
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End2.0
blue by 6.9
3277
#12
34.73.2
35.432.2
Auto5.4
Teleop27.8
End1.5
Second
27.81.8
30.128.3
Auto6.2
Teleop17.8
End3.8
red by 5.0
5658
#47
22.85.3
24.919.5
Auto4.5
Teleop15.7
End2.5
Third
7677
#23
24.71.8
24.722.9
Auto5.0
Teleop15.5
End4.1
red by 3.8
7530
#29
20.95.3
16.711.4
Auto4.3
Teleop12.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsEarned