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Red103
422621.1
419827.9
436033.1
Blue130
331332.9
909242.6
723521.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions888750607080100110120130103130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+21
Endgame+21
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave9
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points20
12Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +4
14Coral scored#16
49Coral points59
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
77Total teleop81
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#5
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points6
103Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4360
#19
33.10.9
28.429.3
Auto4.0
Teleop26.4
End2.7
blue by 9.5
9092
#10
42.63.9
30.634.5
Auto9.9
Teleop25.1
End7.6
Second
4198
#28
27.91.6
25.126.7
Auto5.0
Teleop16.4
End6.6
blue by 5.0
3313
#20
32.93.9
23.227.1
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End3.9
Third
4226
#42
21.11.6
19.120.7
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End2.2
Level
7235
#30
21.12.3
18.120.4
Auto2.5
Teleop12.8
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned