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Red91
704826.7
645317.8
825527.8
Blue114
298732.3
534842.7
250825.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5111102040608010012014016091114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+13
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points19
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +10
9Coral scored#13
31Coral points47
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
59Total teleop69
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
2Foul points2
91Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8255
#44
27.84.4
19.223.6
Auto2.3
Teleop23.2
End2.3
blue by 14.9
42.72.1
42.844.9
Auto7.2
Teleop29.3
End6.2
Second
7048
#41
26.72.6
19.822.5
Auto6.0
Teleop15.7
End5.1
blue by 5.6
2987
#21
32.32.1
28.030.2
Auto5.2
Teleop25.1
End2.0
Third
6453
#46
17.84.4
10.314.7
Auto3.4
Teleop11.6
End2.8
blue by 7.6
2508
#26
25.42.1
22.124.2
Auto5.2
Teleop17.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsEarned