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Red125
418127.4
467434.4
310230.5
Blue125
592911.9
327666.5
453927.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions981096080120140160125125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+10
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +17
23Coral scored#19
81Coral points68
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#8
6Processor points12
8Net points32
14Algae points44
95Total teleop112
Reef
9L4#7
6L3#5
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
125Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4674
#18
34.4
Auto4.9
Teleop21.6
End7.8
blue by 32.2
66.5
Auto13.2
Teleop43.9
End9.4
Second
3102
#22
30.5
Auto8.3
Teleop18.2
End4.0
red by 2.7
27.8
Auto6.2
Teleop17.8
End3.8
Third
4181
#11
27.4
Auto5.0
Teleop20.8
End1.6
red by 15.5
5929
#51
11.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed