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Red94
288340.0
250019.5
767724.7
Blue63
725735.7
957634.0
330020.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891004060801201409463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points12
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +24
13Coral scored#11
45Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#0
6Processor points6
20Net points0
26Algae points6
71Total teleop47
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#3
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
94Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.01.0
36.037.1
Auto8.2
Teleop27.4
End4.3
red by 4.3
7257
#34
35.73.5
34.030.6
Auto6.9
Teleop22.7
End6.1
Second
7677
#23
24.71.0
22.923.9
Auto5.0
Teleop15.5
End4.1
blue by 9.3
9576
#16
34.03.5
32.228.7
Auto6.4
Teleop25.2
End2.4
Third
2500
#37
19.51.0
19.120.1
Auto5.2
Teleop13.4
End1.0
blue by 1.1
3300
#35
20.73.5
21.217.7
Auto2.6
Teleop13.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed