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Red200
87727.0
212954.8
87662.2
Blue83
422621.1
329818.9
974528.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146745010020020083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+105Teleop
+105Endgame
+117Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
6Leave6
10Coral scored#1
48Coral points6
54Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +63
20Coral scored#14
72Coral points51
5Processor algae#2
7Net algae#1
30Processor points12
28Net points4
58Algae points16
130Total teleop67
Reef
14L4#6
7L3#4
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +117
12Foul points0
200Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#3
62.23.2
56.559.8
Auto14.6
Teleop39.8
End7.8
red by 33.6
9745
#38
28.60.6
30.429.9
Auto6.7
Teleop19.0
End2.9
Second
2129
#13
54.85.0
45.750.7
Auto15.2
Teleop38.2
End1.4
red by 33.7
4226
#42
21.10.6
20.720.1
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End2.2
Third
877
#24
27.05.0
19.524.5
Auto6.7
Teleop16.0
End4.3
red by 8.1
3298
#31
18.90.4
19.218.8
Auto6.6
Teleop10.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
47%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed