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Red109
250825.4
909242.6
329740.3
Blue131
525336.7
327734.7
757831.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101076080100120140160109131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+34
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points10
19Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +40
16Coral scored#18
58Coral points66
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#8
6Processor points18
12Net points32
18Algae points50
76Total teleop116
Reef
5L4#7
8L3#4
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#31
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
109Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9092
#10
42.60.5
34.534.9
Auto9.9
Teleop25.1
End7.6
red by 5.9
5253
#14
36.72.0
35.637.6
Auto3.6
Teleop31.1
End2.0
Second
40.30.5
37.638.0
Auto10.3
Teleop25.0
End5.1
red by 5.6
3277
#12
34.72.0
32.234.2
Auto5.4
Teleop27.8
End1.5
Third
2508
#26
25.40.5
24.224.7
Auto5.2
Teleop17.4
End2.9
blue by 6.1
7578
#45
31.53.1
24.928.0
Auto6.5
Teleop22.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsMissed