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Red124
327666.5
331332.9
753020.9
Blue78
534842.7
423034.9
327819.2
36%Model gave it64%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10011140608012014016018012478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+42Teleop
+50Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave3
2Coral scored#1
11Coral points6
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
17Coral scored#11
62Coral points39
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
18Processor points6
8Net points12
26Algae points18
88Total teleop57
Reef
10L4#3
3L3#3
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#16
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
2Foul points6
124Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.53.2
54.858.0
Auto13.2
Teleop43.9
End9.4
red by 23.8
42.73.1
44.941.7
Auto7.2
Teleop29.3
End6.2
Second
3313
#20
32.93.0
27.130.0
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End3.9
blue by 2.0
4230
#36
34.92.0
34.032.0
Auto6.4
Teleop26.7
End1.8
Third
7530
#29
20.93.0
11.414.4
Auto4.3
Teleop12.8
End3.8
red by 1.7
3278
#32
19.23.1
23.520.3
Auto4.5
Teleop12.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsMissed