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Red99
250825.4
331332.9
1017323.1
Blue96
818821.4
250019.5
87662.2
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8212240601001401601809996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+11
Endgame+11
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave6
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points20
20Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +5
8Coral scored#11
27Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
49Total teleop54
Reef
6L4#3
2L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
14Foul points0
99Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3313
#20
32.90.7
30.030.8
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End3.9
blue by 29.3
876
#3
62.20.4
59.859.4
Auto14.6
Teleop39.8
End7.8
Second
2508
#26
25.40.7
24.725.4
Auto5.2
Teleop17.4
End2.9
red by 4.0
8188
#43
21.40.6
21.921.4
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End3.0
Third
23.10.5
22.623.1
Auto4.0
Teleop13.8
End5.3
red by 3.6
2500
#37
19.50.6
20.119.5
Auto5.2
Teleop13.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned