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Red101
534842.7
453927.8
887820.6
Blue66
327819.2
563821.2
327522.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108732040608010012014016010166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+15Teleop
+23Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
11Coral scored#10
41Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
59Total teleop51
Reef
3L4#4
6L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#13
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
12Foul points0
101Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.71.1
41.740.6
Auto7.2
Teleop29.3
End6.2
red by 19.9
3275
#27
22.81.1
24.022.8
Auto3.9
Teleop16.9
End2.1
Second
27.81.2
28.327.1
Auto6.2
Teleop17.8
End3.8
red by 6.6
5638
#52
21.21.1
22.321.2
Auto2.6
Teleop16.3
End2.3
Third
8878
#25
20.61.1
21.820.6
Auto4.8
Teleop13.1
End2.8
red by 1.5
3278
#32
19.21.1
20.319.2
Auto4.5
Teleop12.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed