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Red89
974528.6
313427.8
525336.7
Blue112
423034.9
463225.4
418127.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1138840608010012014016089112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +23
10Coral scored#21
37Coral points74
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
18Processor points12
16Net points8
34Algae points20
71Total teleop94
Reef
5L4#9
4L3#7
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
89Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5253
#14
36.70.9
37.636.7
Auto3.6
Teleop31.1
End2.0
red by 1.8
4230
#36
34.91.8
32.033.8
Auto6.4
Teleop26.7
End1.8
Second
9745
#38
28.61.3
29.928.6
Auto6.7
Teleop19.0
End2.9
red by 1.2
4181
#11
27.41.8
25.727.5
Auto5.0
Teleop20.8
End1.6
Third
3134
#15
27.81.3
28.727.5
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End2.0
red by 2.5
25.42.6
22.425.0
Auto4.3
Teleop17.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed