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Red91
327734.7
448014.1
614642.5
Blue84
725735.7
858623.9
422621.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1008140601201409184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+19Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +23
13Coral scored#8
47Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
75Total teleop52
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
91Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.50.4
39.339.7
Auto5.6
Teleop32.5
End4.4
red by 6.7
7257
#34
35.71.0
30.631.6
Auto6.9
Teleop22.7
End6.1
Second
3277
#12
34.70.3
34.234.5
Auto5.4
Teleop27.8
End1.5
red by 10.8
8586
#33
23.91.0
22.923.9
Auto4.1
Teleop15.8
End4.0
Third
4480
#50
14.10.4
13.714.1
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End1.3
blue by 7.0
4226
#42
21.11.0
20.121.1
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned