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Red94
546432.0
265428.0
753020.9
Blue110
329740.3
298732.3
467434.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6511705010015094110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+28
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points17
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +17
13Coral scored#14
46Coral points51
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
12Processor points12
8Net points20
20Algae points32
66Total teleop83
Reef
8L4#6
2L3#4
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
94Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5464
#17
32.02.7
27.830.4
Auto4.3
Teleop20.5
End7.1
blue by 8.4
40.30.8
38.038.8
Auto10.3
Teleop25.0
End5.1
Second
2654
#39
28.01.9
24.025.9
Auto3.6
Teleop18.7
End5.7
blue by 6.4
4674
#18
34.40.5
33.133.7
Auto4.9
Teleop21.6
End7.8
Third
7530
#29
20.92.7
14.417.1
Auto4.3
Teleop12.8
End3.8
blue by 11.4
2987
#21
32.30.8
30.631.4
Auto5.2
Teleop25.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsMissed