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Red98
313427.8
463225.4
327734.7
Blue121
957634.0
614642.5
265428.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92115608010014016098121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+9Teleop
Endgame+13
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points15
22Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +2
12Coral scored#11
44Coral points40
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
12Processor points18
16Net points12
28Algae points30
72Total teleop70
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#5
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points10
98Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3277
#12
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto5.4
Teleop27.8
End1.5
blue by 7.7
42.50.1
41.941.8
Auto5.6
Teleop32.5
End4.4
Second
3134
#15
27.80.0
27.927.8
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End2.0
blue by 6.1
9576
#16
34.00.1
33.433.3
Auto6.4
Teleop25.2
End2.4
Third
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto4.3
Teleop17.8
End3.3
blue by 2.6
2654
#39
28.00.1
27.627.5
Auto3.6
Teleop18.7
End5.7