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Red183
327666.5
753020.9
87662.2
Blue147
329347.2
725735.7
909242.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15812680100140180200220240183147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+32Teleop
+32Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave6
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points19
33Total auto25
TeleoperatedRed +24
26Coral scored#18
94Coral points64
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
12Processor points18
12Net points12
24Algae points30
118Total teleop94
Reef
8L4#8
13L3#6
4L2#4
7L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +36
6Foul points2
183Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.51.1
64.165.2
Auto13.2
Teleop43.9
End9.4
red by 19.3
47.20.5
45.946.4
Auto7.0
Teleop31.5
End8.7
Second
876
#3
62.20.7
60.661.3
Auto14.6
Teleop39.8
End7.8
red by 19.6
9092
#10
42.60.7
40.941.6
Auto9.9
Teleop25.1
End7.6
Third
7530
#29
20.91.0
18.719.7
Auto4.3
Teleop12.8
End3.8
blue by 14.8
7257
#34
35.70.7
34.034.7
Auto6.9
Teleop22.7
End6.1