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Red137
957634.0
614642.5
265428.0
Blue153
546432.0
329740.3
423034.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031116080120140160180137153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+26
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave3
4Coral scored#7
19Coral points34
19Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +8
14Coral scored#16
50Coral points56
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#8
18Processor points12
24Net points32
42Algae points44
92Total teleop100
Reef
7L4#9
3L3#7
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#33
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
137Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.51.2
39.740.9
Auto5.6
Teleop32.5
End4.4
red by 2.1
40.31.5
38.840.3
Auto10.3
Teleop25.0
End5.1
Second
9576
#16
34.01.2
31.232.4
Auto6.4
Teleop25.2
End2.4
blue by 1.0
4230
#36
34.91.1
33.834.9
Auto6.4
Teleop26.7
End1.8
Third
2654
#39
28.00.9
25.926.8
Auto3.6
Teleop18.7
End5.7
blue by 4.0
5464
#17
32.01.5
30.431.9
Auto4.3
Teleop20.5
End7.1