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Red160
331332.9
534842.7
212954.8
Blue161
329347.2
725735.7
909242.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13612380100160180200160161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+29Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +12
9Leave3
7Coral scored#6
35Coral points29
44Total auto32
TeleoperatedRed +17
19Coral scored#16
70Coral points57
4Processor algae#4
4Net algae#3
24Processor points24
16Net points12
40Algae points36
110Total teleop93
Reef
12L4#8
6L3#7
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +30
6Cage & park36
6Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
160Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2129
#13
54.80.8
52.753.5
Auto15.2
Teleop38.2
End1.4
red by 7.6
47.20.9
44.144.9
Auto7.0
Teleop31.5
End8.7
Second
42.70.8
40.641.4
Auto7.2
Teleop29.3
End6.2
red by 0.1
9092
#10
42.61.2
38.439.6
Auto9.9
Teleop25.1
End7.6
Third
3313
#20
32.90.8
30.831.6
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End3.9
blue by 2.8
7257
#34
35.71.2
31.632.7
Auto6.9
Teleop22.7
End6.1