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Red160
329347.2
725735.7
909242.6
Blue101
313427.8
463225.4
327734.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1338850100150200160101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+37Teleop
+59Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave0
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points15
32Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +20
19Coral scored#12
70Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
92Total teleop72
Reef
11L4#8
7L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#21
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points0
160Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.21.0
44.945.9
Auto7.0
Teleop31.5
End8.7
red by 12.4
3277
#12
34.70.3
34.434.7
Auto5.4
Teleop27.8
End1.5
Second
9092
#10
42.61.3
39.640.9
Auto9.9
Teleop25.1
End7.6
red by 14.8
3134
#15
27.80.4
27.427.9
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End2.0
Third
7257
#34
35.71.3
32.734.0
Auto6.9
Teleop22.7
End6.1
red by 10.4
25.40.4
25.025.4
Auto4.3
Teleop17.8
End3.3