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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204129100150250183155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+8Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points23
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +6
23Coral scored#24
82Coral points86
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
24Processor points18
16Net points24
40Algae points42
122Total teleop128
Reef
6L4#12
10L3#9
8L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#38
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
183Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.71.0
83.382.4
Auto21.8
Teleop59.7
End10.2
red by 37.7
1073
#16
53.90.9
45.546.4
Auto15.0
Teleop29.6
End9.3
Second
2648
#12
59.81.0
47.947.0
Auto9.8
Teleop45.6
End4.4
red by 13.5
663
#19
46.30.9
37.638.5
Auto6.1
Teleop37.8
End2.3
Third
230
#17
58.71.0
54.953.9
Auto17.1
Teleop33.2
End8.5
red by 20.3
1729
#48
38.50.9
47.748.6
Auto10.3
Teleop25.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsEarned18%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsMissed