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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144163100200250129144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+15
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave0
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points22
9Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +2
17Coral scored#25
62Coral points90
2Processor algae#1
8Net algae#3
12Processor points6
32Net points12
44Algae points18
106Total teleop108
Reef
9L4#12
4L3#7
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#6
28Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
129Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9644
#11
55.10.8
48.747.9
Auto8.8
Teleop43.8
End2.5
blue by 19.0
74.10.5
71.971.4
Auto15.8
Teleop49.2
End9.0
Second
1058
#34
47.00.8
43.843.0
Auto10.5
Teleop28.7
End7.8
red by 2.2
8626
#37
44.80.5
36.435.9
Auto7.3
Teleop34.5
End3.0
Third
509
#40
46.30.8
40.239.4
Auto3.0
Teleop35.2
End8.1
red by 4.3
42.00.5
34.233.7
Auto6.7
Teleop29.6
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed80%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned