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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169185140160200220240170123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
+49Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave6
4Coral scored#8
20Coral points38
26Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +67
23Coral scored#11
84Coral points41
2Processor algae#0
6Net algae#3
12Processor points0
24Net points12
36Algae points12
120Total teleop53
Reef
11L4#7
8L3#3
3L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
170Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.20.2
58.458.3
Auto9.5
Teleop45.6
End8.1
blue by 21.4
84.64.1
77.773.6
Auto23.4
Teleop52.6
End8.6
Second
95
#29
60.20.2
60.160.0
Auto20.4
Teleop33.4
End6.5
red by 1.1
7127
#13
59.24.1
55.851.7
Auto9.3
Teleop47.1
End2.8
Third
9644
#11
55.10.2
47.947.8
Auto8.8
Teleop43.8
End2.5
red by 12.8
4048
#46
42.34.1
46.141.9
Auto8.5
Teleop26.6
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
53%Coral oddsMissed59%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned