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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184173120140160200220240184170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+24Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave3
7Coral scored#9
35Coral points47
44Total auto50
TeleoperatedRed +30
26Coral scored#22
92Coral points80
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
18Processor points12
24Net points12
42Algae points24
134Total teleop104
Reef
11L4#12
10L3#6
6L2#6
6L1 · trough#7
42Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
184Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#8
79.80.8
79.280.1
Auto21.8
Teleop49.0
End9.0
red by 3.1
125
#6
76.70.4
77.377.7
Auto21.5
Teleop44.2
End11.0
Second
4564
#20
50.70.8
46.847.7
Auto10.5
Teleop40.0
End0.3
red by 5.7
999
#26
45.00.4
38.038.4
Auto9.9
Teleop32.0
End3.2
Third
1721
#30
36.20.8
33.234.1
Auto5.2
Teleop22.6
End8.4
blue by 3.6
2064
#36
39.70.4
38.138.5
Auto7.6
Teleop23.4
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
88%Coral oddsEarned63%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsMissed96%Barge oddsEarned