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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14912250100200250133137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+26Teleop
+14Endgame
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave3
4Coral scored#4
18Coral points20
24Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +25
19Coral scored#13
67Coral points48
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
18Processor points12
20Net points20
38Algae points32
105Total teleop80
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#6
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points18
133Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8013
#14
62.30.0
51.451.3
Auto9.6
Teleop44.8
End7.8
red by 1.6
2342
#10
60.70.4
58.859.2
Auto13.5
Teleop40.5
End6.7
Second
571
#15
55.30.0
48.748.6
Auto11.1
Teleop42.2
End2.1
red by 13.4
42.00.4
34.935.3
Auto6.7
Teleop29.6
End5.7
Third
8626
#37
44.80.0
33.533.5
Auto7.3
Teleop34.5
End3.0
red by 24.9
501
#18
19.90.4
19.519.9
Auto4.8
Teleop11.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed43%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned