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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177140100150200250163127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+44Teleop
+44Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
6Leave6
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points9
37Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +22
21Coral scored#15
74Coral points54
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
6Processor points12
20Net points12
26Algae points24
100Total teleop78
Reef
8L4#8
11L3#4
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points8
163Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.40.6
71.672.2
Auto21.5
Teleop45.8
End9.1
red by 30.1
509
#40
46.30.7
39.138.5
Auto3.0
Teleop35.2
End8.1
Second
230
#17
58.70.6
53.754.2
Auto17.1
Teleop33.2
End8.5
red by 20.3
1729
#48
38.50.7
45.544.8
Auto10.3
Teleop25.4
End2.8
Third
4925
#45
21.10.6
15.015.6
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End1.9
blue by 14.8
1991
#42
35.90.7
30.830.1
Auto5.1
Teleop27.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
61%Coral oddsEarned33%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned