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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11820350100150250126199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+71
Endgame+73
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
6Coral scored#8
31Coral points41
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +64
16Coral scored#25
57Coral points89
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#8
6Processor points18
12Net points32
18Algae points50
75Total teleop139
Reef
6L4#9
5L3#12
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#6
26Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
0Foul points0
126Total score199

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2423
#27
47.70.2
47.047.2
Auto14.9
Teleop27.3
End5.4
blue by 36.9
84.60.8
73.674.4
Auto23.4
Teleop52.6
End8.6
Second
237
#35
41.30.2
37.137.3
Auto8.2
Teleop30.7
End2.4
blue by 16.2
166
#24
57.50.8
56.157.0
Auto8.6
Teleop38.9
End9.9
Third
6153
#47
22.80.2
27.928.0
Auto2.2
Teleop13.2
End7.5
blue by 32.2
9644
#11
55.10.8
47.848.6
Auto8.8
Teleop43.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned89%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned