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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1941255010015025019290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+82Teleop
+102Endgame
+102Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave3
8Coral scored#3
41Coral points17
44Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +58
28Coral scored#13
100Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
124Total teleop66
Reef
14L4#5
9L3#5
7L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#20
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +102
0Foul points0
192Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#6
76.71.3
75.176.4
Auto21.5
Teleop44.2
End11.0
red by 20.7
7153
#33
56.02.2
51.449.2
Auto13.2
Teleop36.2
End6.6
Second
95
#29
60.21.3
60.061.2
Auto20.4
Teleop33.4
End6.5
red by 19.8
1071
#28
40.52.2
30.127.9
Auto7.3
Teleop28.7
End4.4
Third
9101
#25
42.11.3
38.039.3
Auto6.4
Teleop30.6
End5.0
red by 2.3
2064
#36
39.72.2
41.839.6
Auto7.6
Teleop23.4
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
74%Coral oddsEarned44%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsMissed