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Qual 232025 New England FIRST District Championship - Ballard Division presented by Altair
Red90
66346.3
404842.3
971028.3
Blue132
24635.5
19079.8
105847.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071805015020025090132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+30
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +15
9Leave6
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points28
19Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +15
12Coral scored#14
43Coral points50
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
67Total teleop82
Reef
5L4#8
5L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points0
90Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
663
#19
46.31.0
38.4→37.4
Auto6.1
Teleop37.8
End2.3
blue by 33.5
190
#8
79.81.6
80.3→78.7
Auto21.8
Teleop49.0
End9.0
Second
4048
#46
42.31.0
41.9→40.9
Auto8.5
Teleop26.6
End7.2
blue by 4.7
1058
#34
47.01.6
45.6→44.0
Auto10.5
Teleop28.7
End7.8
Third
9710
#44
28.31.0
24.7→23.7
Auto6.8
Teleop19.6
End1.9
blue by 7.2
246
#32
35.51.6
30.4→28.8
Auto5.7
Teleop27.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed64%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned