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Qual 242025 New England FIRST District Championship - Ballard Division presented by Altair
Red179
172136.2
632991.7
1006632.5
Blue202
456450.7
712759.2
107353.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160158120140180200179202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+31
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
5Coral scored#7
24Coral points37
30Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +21
29Coral scored#26
105Coral points94
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#10
12Processor points12
8Net points40
20Algae points52
125Total teleop146
Reef
8L4#8
14L3#7
7L2#11
5L1 · trough#7
38Game pieces#45
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
179Total score202

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6329
#4
91.71.7
82.1→83.8
Auto21.8
Teleop59.7
End10.2
red by 32.5
7127
#13
59.22.9
51.7→54.6
Auto9.3
Teleop47.1
End2.8
Second
1721
#30
36.21.7
28.7→30.4
Auto5.2
Teleop22.6
End8.4
blue by 17.8
1073
#16
53.92.9
44.2→47.1
Auto15.0
Teleop29.6
End9.3
Third
10066
#41
32.51.7
26.0→27.6
Auto6.2
Teleop24.6
End1.6
blue by 18.2
4564
#20
50.72.9
46.2→49.1
Auto10.5
Teleop40.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsEarned36%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned