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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121135608010016018020010690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+18Teleop
+20Endgame
+16Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +18
17Coral scored#14
62Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
84Total teleop66
Reef
8L4#5
5L3#5
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points4
106Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
509
#40
46.30.2
38.538.2
Auto3.0
Teleop35.2
End8.1
blue by 9.1
571
#15
55.32.5
50.247.7
Auto11.1
Teleop42.2
End2.1
Second
8626
#37
44.80.2
33.733.5
Auto7.3
Teleop34.5
End3.0
red by 6.3
1729
#48
38.52.5
44.842.3
Auto10.3
Teleop25.4
End2.8
Third
155
#21
42.10.2
37.136.9
Auto9.1
Teleop27.5
End5.4
red by 19.3
6153
#47
22.82.5
28.025.6
Auto2.2
Teleop13.2
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed40%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsMissed75%Barge oddsMissed