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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23615450100200250300254182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+58Teleop
+70Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave9
9Coral scored#5
45Coral points24
51Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +40
26Coral scored#20
95Coral points73
5Processor algae#4
10Net algae#7
30Processor points24
40Net points28
70Algae points52
165Total teleop125
Reef
10L4#10
15L3#8
7L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
50Game pieces#36
BargeRed +12
36Cage & park24
36Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
2Foul points0
254Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#9
74.61.5
63.765.2
Auto17.8
Teleop45.1
End11.8
blue by 10.0
84.61.0
74.475.5
Auto23.4
Teleop52.6
End8.6
Second
74.11.5
72.874.3
Auto15.8
Teleop49.2
End9.0
red by 32.1
42.01.0
33.634.6
Auto6.7
Teleop29.6
End5.7
Third
4909
#23
71.81.5
73.174.6
Auto21.1
Teleop40.5
End10.2
red by 32.0
2064
#36
39.71.0
39.640.6
Auto7.6
Teleop23.4
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned82%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned