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Qual 282025 New England FIRST District Championship - Ballard Division presented by Altair
Red169
66346.3
234260.7
105847.0
Blue119
199135.9
18135.1
715356.0
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17613450100150200250300169119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+48Teleop
+48Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
3Leave3
8Coral scored#1
41Coral points6
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +13
23Coral scored#19
81Coral points70
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
18Processor points12
20Net points24
38Algae points36
119Total teleop106
Reef
15L4#8
6L3#6
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
2Foul points0
169Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2342
#10
60.70.3
59.2→58.8
Auto13.5
Teleop40.5
End6.7
red by 4.7
7153
#33
56.01.3
49.2→47.9
Auto13.2
Teleop36.2
End6.6
Second
1058
#34
47.00.3
44.0→43.6
Auto10.5
Teleop28.7
End7.8
red by 11.1
1991
#42
35.91.3
30.1→28.8
Auto5.1
Teleop27.6
End3.1
Third
663
#19
46.30.3
37.4→37.0
Auto6.1
Teleop37.8
End2.3
red by 11.2
181
#39
35.11.3
26.5→25.2
Auto3.4
Teleop28.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
34%Coral oddsEarned29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed