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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11523350100150200250300125206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+81
Endgame+81
Fouls+81
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave9
1Coral scored#7
7Coral points35
16Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +53
20Coral scored#26
73Coral points94
1Processor algae#5
4Net algae#6
6Processor points30
16Net points24
22Algae points54
95Total teleop148
Reef
8L4#15
7L3#7
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#44
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +81
0Foul points0
125Total score206

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9644
#11
55.10.1
48.648.7
Auto8.8
Teleop43.8
End2.5
blue by 36.6
91.70.3
83.883.5
Auto21.8
Teleop59.7
End10.2
Second
8567
#22
38.30.1
31.031.0
Auto6.5
Teleop30.1
End1.7
blue by 41.5
190
#8
79.80.3
78.778.4
Auto21.8
Teleop49.0
End9.0
Third
1721
#30
36.20.1
30.430.5
Auto5.2
Teleop22.6
End8.4
blue by 3.6
3182
#31
39.80.3
34.033.7
Auto5.8
Teleop26.5
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsEarned80%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned