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Qual 302025 New England FIRST District Championship - Ballard Division presented by Altair
Red133
542243.3
23058.7
404842.3
Blue150
1006632.5
12576.7
107140.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154146050100200250300133150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points20
33Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +24
17Coral scored#23
60Coral points84
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
84Total teleop108
Reef
6L4#6
7L3#8
6L2#8
4L1 · trough#5
28Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
133Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#17
58.70.5
54.2→53.8
Auto17.1
Teleop33.2
End8.5
blue by 18.0
125
#6
76.71.2
76.4→77.6
Auto21.5
Teleop44.2
End11.0
Second
5422
#38
43.30.5
44.7→44.2
Auto9.8
Teleop28.5
End5.0
red by 2.8
1071
#28
40.51.2
27.9→29.1
Auto7.3
Teleop28.7
End4.4
Third
4048
#46
42.30.5
40.9→40.5
Auto8.5
Teleop26.6
End7.2
red by 9.8
10066
#41
32.51.2
27.6→28.8
Auto6.2
Teleop24.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsMissed71%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned